← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.01vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.62vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.93+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.11-0.14vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.93-2.17vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.63-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
-
2.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
-
4.14Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
3.86Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
-
2.83Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
-
4.54Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 19.7% | 23.7% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 6.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 29.3% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 25.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 18.6% |
| Scott Mais | 24.3% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Brian Fox | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.