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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.66vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.93+2.11vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93-2.17vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.63-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.11Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.89Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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4.57Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 27.6% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 26.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 23.7% | 18.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 21.7% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Scott Mais | 23.9% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Brian Fox | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.