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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.51+3.73vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.14vs Predicted
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4Vanderbilt University-0.12+0.64vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.40-1.30vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.32-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-3.31vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
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5.73University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.14Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.64Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.7The Citadel0.400.2%1st Place
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4.85Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.95North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 21.4% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 6.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 23.4% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Dalton | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Noah Frank | 17.7% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 31.3% | 22.6% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 17.0% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.