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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.72+2.23vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.40+1.97vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+1.42vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-1.93vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.32+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-2.37vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.12-3.22vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.19-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
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3.97The Citadel0.400.1%1st Place
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4.93Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.42University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.07Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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6.94North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.78Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 22.1% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 5.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 27.0% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Campbell Tate | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 34.3% | 21.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Jack Dalton | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 16.7% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.