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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+2.04vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.51+2.56vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.40-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.19+2.06vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-0.12-2.19vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.32-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.13Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.56University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.69The Citadel0.400.2%1st Place
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3.17University of South Carolina0.720.3%1st Place
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8.06University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.81Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.93North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 24.4% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 4.6% |
| Noah Frank | 15.6% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 25.5% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 17.2% | 62.8% |
| Jack Dalton | 8.7% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 32.4% | 23.3% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.