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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+3.89vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.72+0.26vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.40-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.51+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.19+1.07vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.12-3.19vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.32-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.32Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.26University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
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3.74The Citadel0.400.2%1st Place
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5.41University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.81Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.9North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 2.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 19.2% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ian Street | 22.4% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Noah Frank | 16.8% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 5.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 17.5% | 63.7% |
| Jack Dalton | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 32.2% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.