← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Vanderbilt University-0.12+3.81vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+2.83vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.40+0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina0.72-0.85vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.79-1.96vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.18-1.18vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-1.32-0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina-0.51-2.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-2.19-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.81Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
-
3.83The Citadel0.400.2%1st Place
-
3.15University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
-
3.04Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
-
4.82Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
-
6.95North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.53University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
-
8.05University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dalton | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Noah Frank | 15.1% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Ian Street | 21.8% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 26.7% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Campbell Tate | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 33.4% | 22.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 6.6% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.