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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+1.55vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.51+2.67vs Predicted
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4Vanderbilt University-0.12+0.78vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.40-1.18vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-2.23vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.19-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of South Carolina1.280.3%1st Place
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3.35Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.67University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.78Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.82The Citadel0.400.2%1st Place
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4.99Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.98North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 33.8% | 23.8% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.1% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 5.5% |
| Jack Dalton | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Noah Frank | 15.1% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Campbell Tate | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 32.5% | 23.4% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 17.0% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.