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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+1.53vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.39vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+0.64vs Predicted
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5Vanderbilt University-0.12-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-0.43vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.32+0.01vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.40-4.06vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.19-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of South Carolina1.280.3%1st Place
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3.39Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.08Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.77Vanderbilt University-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.57University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.94The Citadel0.400.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 33.0% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.9% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Jack Dalton | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 4.6% |
| Campbell Tate | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 33.7% | 22.1% |
| Noah Frank | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.