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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+2.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.12vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30-0.42vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.76vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.25vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.57+0.22vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.01-1.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Fordham University1.9823.3%1st Place
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4.67Cornell University0.939.8%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania1.7721.1%1st Place
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3.58Webb Institute1.3016.2%1st Place
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3.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7720.0%1st Place
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6.25SUNY Maritime College-0.023.1%1st Place
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7.22Princeton University-0.571.7%1st Place
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6.31Hamilton College0.013.4%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jacob Zils | 23.3% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Boris Bialer | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
Sofia Segalla | 21.1% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 16.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.0% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 13.9% |
William Roberts | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 25.8% | 31.1% |
Michael Stewart | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
Oscar Gilroy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 25.6% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.