← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina-0.20+1.92vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.76+1.90vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.20-0.68vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-1.23+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-2.01+0.77vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.81vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-1.43-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Vanderbilt University-2.72-1.07vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-4.58-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92University of North Carolina-0.200.2%1st Place
-
3.9North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
2.32The Citadel0.200.4%1st Place
-
4.46Clemson University-1.230.1%1st Place
-
5.77Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.1%1st Place
-
4.9University of South Carolina-1.430.1%1st Place
-
6.93Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Georgia-4.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hale | 24.2% | 23.3% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 10.8% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 37.3% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| William Robertson | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 4.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 0.9% |
| Alana Vodicka | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Gregory Gold | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 44.7% | 10.3% |
| Brigitte Lueder | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.