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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+9.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+4.94vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+3.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50+2.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-4.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-0.18vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06+2.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.36-3.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.74vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-6.57vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-6.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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14.61Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.62Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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16.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 17.4% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.