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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+4.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+6.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.53+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.97vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-1.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-2.55vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-1.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.53vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University1.06-0.29vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.36-5.69vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-4.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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13.71Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.31Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 27.4% | 22.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 15.8% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.