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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.52vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.14+0.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.72vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32+0.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-1.22-0.10vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.3835.1%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University1.7920.4%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.0%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University1.1410.2%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.1611.5%1st Place
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7.39Princeton University-0.321.7%1st Place
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7.9SUNY Maritime College-1.221.1%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University0.716.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Bridget Green | 35.1% | 25.6% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 20.4% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Annika VanderHorst | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 4.5% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Carly Mraz | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 33.2% | 32.6% |
Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 21.9% | 54.8% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.