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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+7.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+3.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.08vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+4.79vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.36+3.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+2.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62-0.50vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.23-5.91vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-1.35vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.53-5.16vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University1.06-1.47vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.12-5.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.22Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.08Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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13.53Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 24.9% | 21.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.