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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.36+6.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+4.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.18vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.95vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06+4.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-1.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.48vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-3.83vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.53-4.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.51vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-6.96vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.47-11.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.74Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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15.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.41Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 26.2% | 23.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 58.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 5.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.