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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+2.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+2.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.11vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+6.46vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+4.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.91vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+2.17vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-0.63vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-1.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-1.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.36-2.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-4.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.53vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-6.71vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-2.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.29Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.69Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 26.4% | 20.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.