← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.65+6.11vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.47+2.31vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.13vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.50+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.53+2.85vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.74+4.52vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.12+1.97vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.54-3.74vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.12-3.62vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.62-2.49vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.45-3.03vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University1.06+0.68vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.50vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.07-4.56vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.58vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.36-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.11Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.31Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.57Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.85Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.52Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.97Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.26Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
6.38Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.97Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.68Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.44Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
15.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.43Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 6.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 25.7% | 22.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 57.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.