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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+4.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+6.64vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.05vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+4.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+5.24vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+0.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+3.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.70vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University1.06+2.66vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-3.34vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.36-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.77vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.47vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.57vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.45-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Dartmouth College3.470.2%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.24Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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13.66Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.47Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 7.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 57.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.