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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.14vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+5.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+1.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+4.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.61vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13+1.92vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-3.81vs Predicted
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102.64-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-7.70vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.74vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-0.23vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-8.53vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.29vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.92Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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5.19Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.322.640.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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5.3Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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14.74Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.77Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.71University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 28.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 25.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.