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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.64+6.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+7.27vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+3.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+1.28vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+2.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-1.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-2.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-4.85vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-1.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-2.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.73vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.74vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.722.640.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.92Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.26Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 29.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.