← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.10vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.37vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.98+0.15vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.30-0.43vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.93-0.26vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+1.45vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.72vs Predicted
-
8Hamilton College0.01-1.77vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.57-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1University of Pennsylvania1.7722.8%1st Place
-
3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7718.4%1st Place
-
3.15Fordham University1.9822.5%1st Place
-
3.57Webb Institute1.3016.4%1st Place
-
4.74Cornell University0.938.1%1st Place
-
7.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.6%1st Place
-
6.28SUNY Maritime College-0.023.8%1st Place
-
6.23Hamilton College0.014.0%1st Place
-
7.09Princeton University-0.572.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 22.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 18.4% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 22.5% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 16.4% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 40.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 12.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
| William Roberts | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 25.7% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.