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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+6.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.45vs Predicted
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42.64+3.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+5.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00-0.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.53vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-4.84vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-1.12vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-6.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.14vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-1.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-1.57vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.982.640.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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14.43Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.24Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 11.4% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 33.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.