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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.25vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+3.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+1.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-0.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+3.32vs Predicted
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82.64-0.19vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49-0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-3.43vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.70vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+2.31vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.69+1.20vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-1.50vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.96vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.13-6.15vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.812.640.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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14.31Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.2Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 34.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 31.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.