← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.82+6.14vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.07+4.30vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.62+11.21vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.98+6.34vs Predicted
-
52.64+2.78vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.57+2.34vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.40-1.73vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.00-2.15vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.43-4.81vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.49-2.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.07-2.01vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.23-7.06vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University0.69+0.26vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.13-5.20vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.37-3.57vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.3Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
14.21Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.34Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
-
7.782.640.1%1st Place
-
8.34Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.27Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.85Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
5.19Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.67Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
5.94Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
14.26Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.8Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
-
12.43Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 33.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 23.1% | 31.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.