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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+4.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.40vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.49+4.51vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07+4.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.78vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+5.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.28vs Predicted
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102.64-2.15vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-1.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-1.71vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-7.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.57-5.70vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-9.10vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.61vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.94Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.852.640.1%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.4Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 29.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.