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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+7.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+4.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.21vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+4.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+3.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-2.74vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-3.60vs Predicted
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122.64-4.10vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.71vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-1.54vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.26Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.92.640.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.26Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 34.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.