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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+4.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+7.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+3.37vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+7.16vs Predicted
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62.64+2.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-2.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-2.21vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+4.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.44vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.69+0.24vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.98-4.67vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-9.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.07-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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5.26Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.062.640.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.38Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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13.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.24Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% |
| Dana Haig | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 31.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 33.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.