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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.22vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+4.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+6.93vs Predicted
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42.64+3.95vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+2.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+3.27vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-2.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.49-2.36vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.43-6.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-3.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.60vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.952.640.1%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.89Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.26Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 33.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.