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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+2.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+5.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+1.09vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+2.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.97vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82-0.96vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+2.61vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+1.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-3.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.15+1.10vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.86vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.76-3.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-4.20vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.38-3.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.58vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.07-1.48vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-0.26-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.8Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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15.52Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.62Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.7% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 23.4% | 21.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| William George | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 24.4% | 33.9% |
| Andrew White | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.