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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+8.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64-0.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.76+3.62vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+0.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-3.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.83vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.22vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-6.13vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.25-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.15-2.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.18vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.07-1.31vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.26-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.69Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.78Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.01Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| William George | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 20.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 25.8% | 31.8% |
| Andrew White | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.