← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+1.35vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.79+1.17vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.14+0.24vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.71+0.22vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.04vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.32+0.29vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.44vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-1.22-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.35Cornell University2.3835.6%1st Place
-
3.17Cornell University1.7920.4%1st Place
-
4.24University of Pennsylvania1.1611.4%1st Place
-
4.24Cornell University1.1411.2%1st Place
-
5.22Fordham University0.716.5%1st Place
-
4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.917.1%1st Place
-
7.29Princeton University-0.322.1%1st Place
-
5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.8%1st Place
-
7.98SUNY Maritime College-1.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bridget Green | 35.6% | 26.6% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 20.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
Ava Gustafson | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% |
Elizabeth Starck | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
Carly Mraz | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 31.9% | 30.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
Eva Leggett | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 22.5% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.