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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+8.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+3.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+0.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+3.93vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-3.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05-0.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-2.96vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.75-4.70vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.25-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.15-2.34vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.07-0.45vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.26-0.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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5.85Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.93Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.65Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.55Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.09Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 22.0% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| John Eastman | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 31.5% |
| Andrew White | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 40.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.