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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+4.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+3.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+6.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.69+5.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76+4.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-2.31vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.15+3.29vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-1.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.10-5.84vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.77vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-7.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.87vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.07-1.30vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.26-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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3.69Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.08Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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5.16Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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13.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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14.7Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.03Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 20.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 20.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 31.8% |
| Andrew White | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.