← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+4.91vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.69+7.60vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.82+2.85vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.25+3.77vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.81+0.77vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.74vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.98vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.64-4.38vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.10-3.83vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.76-0.63vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.46-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.69-2.38vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.52-2.63vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.15-2.44vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.20vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.07-1.29vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-0.26-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.91Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.6Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.85Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.77Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
5.77Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
-
3.62Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
5.17Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.15Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.62Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.37Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.56University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.71Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
-
15.02Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 24.6% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Olin Guck | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 26.4% | 31.5% |
| Andrew White | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 21.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.