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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+2.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.69+7.77vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+0.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-0.79vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-2.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.59vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-2.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.77vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-4.13vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.76-3.30vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-4.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.07vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.07-1.18vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.26-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.15Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.06Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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14.82Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.12Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 23.6% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| William George | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 23.8% | 21.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 27.0% | 32.2% |
| Andrew White | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.