Race 1 - jack-boehringer-52 | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%

Within 2 Positions

1.5

Avg Position Diff

6

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.64

+2.54

vs Predicted
2

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

2.50

+1.67

vs Predicted
3

Hayden Earl & Gabbi DelBello

Cornell University

2.86

+0.19

vs Predicted
4

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

3.06

-1.13

vs Predicted
5

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

-0.52

vs Predicted
6

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.83

-2.75

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.54

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.64

0.1%

1st Place
3.67

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

2.50

0.1%

1st Place
3.19

Hayden Earl & Gabbi DelBello

Cornell University

2.86

0.2%

1st Place
2.87

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

3.06

0.2%

1st Place
4.48

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

0.1%

1st Place
3.25

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.83

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6
Will Murray	14.3%	17.8%	17.0%	17.1%	17.7%	16.1%
Kenneth Corsig	14.5%	15.9%	15.3%	15.2%	20.3%	18.8%
Hayden Earl	20.3%	17.4%	19.7%	17.5%	15.8%	9.3%
Benton Amthor	24.3%	21.3%	20.6%	16.1%	12.7%	5.0%
Lucas Sawin	7.7%	8.5%	9.9%	16.3%	17.3%	40.3%
Jordan Bruce	18.9%	19.1%	17.5%	17.8%	16.2%	10.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.