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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.86+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.53vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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3.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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3.74Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 23.4% | 22.7% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Hayden Earl | 20.4% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.4% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 9.4% |
| Will Murray | 15.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 14.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 39.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 13.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.