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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.16vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.86-1.68vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.16University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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3.7Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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3.32Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 24.0% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 20.7% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 9.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 17.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 36.8% |
| Hayden Earl | 17.5% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% |
| Will Murray | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.