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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+2.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.02+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.10vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.65vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.57+2.10vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01+0.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-3.95vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.93-3.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Webb Institute1.3014.8%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Maritime College-0.023.9%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania1.7721.6%1st Place
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7719.8%1st Place
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7.1Princeton University-0.571.7%1st Place
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6.31Hamilton College0.013.8%1st Place
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3.05Fordham University1.9824.6%1st Place
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4.7Cornell University0.938.6%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.611.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Everett Botwinick | 14.8% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 13.2% |
Sofia Segalla | 21.6% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
William Roberts | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 29.4% |
Michael Stewart | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 12.8% |
Jacob Zils | 24.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Boris Bialer | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
Oscar Gilroy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.