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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.26vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.86+1.16vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.72Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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2.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 18.0% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% |
| Hayden Earl | 20.6% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 9.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| Will Murray | 15.9% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 39.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 24.5% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.