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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+2.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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3.71Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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2.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 18.6% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| Will Murray | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 17.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 18.8% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 8.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 40.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 24.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.