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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.20vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.14vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.54vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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2.86SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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3.75Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 18.1% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 10.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 25.0% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Will Murray | 15.9% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 39.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.