Race 7 - jack-boehringer-52 | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.7

Avg Position Diff

6

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.64

+2.54

vs Predicted
2

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

+2.33

vs Predicted
3

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.83

+0.21

vs Predicted
4

Hayden Earl & Sophia Mulvania

Cornell University

2.86

-0.82

vs Predicted
5

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

2.50

-1.16

vs Predicted
6

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

3.06

-3.10

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.54

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.64

0.1%

1st Place
4.33

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

2.04

0.1%

1st Place
3.21

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.83

0.2%

1st Place
3.18

Hayden Earl & Sophia Mulvania

Cornell University

2.86

0.2%

1st Place
3.84

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

2.50

0.1%

1st Place
2.9

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

3.06

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6
Will Murray	14.3%	17.6%	16.6%	18.7%	17.0%	15.8%
Lucas Sawin	8.8%	11.7%	10.7%	12.7%	18.2%	37.9%
Jordan Bruce	20.3%	17.8%	17.7%	18.9%	15.6%	9.7%
Hayden Earl	20.1%	18.2%	18.7%	17.8%	17.3%	7.9%
Kenneth Corsig	12.5%	12.5%	17.5%	16.2%	18.9%	22.4%
Benton Amthor	24.0%	22.2%	18.8%	15.7%	13.0%	6.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.