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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.21vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.49vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50-1.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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2.88SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.82Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 19.3% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 10.3% |
| Will Murray | 16.3% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 13.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 24.2% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 21.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.