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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.32vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+1.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+1.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22-1.17vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.11-0.04vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.09+0.67vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.57-1.71vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.22-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Princeton University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.2Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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3.83George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.67Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.29Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.79Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 36.9% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 17.0% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cole Tillson | 19.1% | 23.5% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kertatos | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 15.3% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 24.3% | 31.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 32.2% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 23.1% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.