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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+2.16vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.02vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.09+3.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-0.39vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.110.00vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-3.11vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.60+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.57-1.70vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.22-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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2.29Princeton University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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7.65Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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6.0Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.89George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.29Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.8Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 20.7% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 36.5% | 25.9% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 19.4% | 21.5% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 14.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.5% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 31.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 32.6% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.