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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+1.06vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.52+4.00vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22-0.02vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.22+2.99vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.09+1.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-2.17vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.11-1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.57-1.47vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.69-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Princeton University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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7.0Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.99Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.78Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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6.23Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.27Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 37.3% | 24.6% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 20.5% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 21.7% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 7.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 25.8% | 25.3% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 20.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 41.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 17.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.