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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+2.03vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+1.24vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+1.00vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-1.69vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52+1.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74-1.21vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.11-0.72vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.09-0.17vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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3.24Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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2.31Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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6.91Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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6.28Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.83Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.06Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Tillson | 22.0% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 17.4% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.6% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 34.3% | 27.8% | 20.1% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 25.3% | 20.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 25.1% | 26.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.