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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+2.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+1.05vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35-0.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.74+0.82vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52+1.87vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.22+2.02vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.11-0.71vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.09-0.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-5.07vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.2%1st Place
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2.36Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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6.87Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.02Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.29Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.84Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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3.93George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 19.7% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 20.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 34.0% | 26.5% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 7.7% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 26.8% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Joe Cooner | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 25.9% | 19.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.